With their defence having been breached only once after five matches in this tournament, and considering their vast superiority in the record of previous encounters, Nigeria’s Super Eagles have the favourite tag going into Wednesday’s Africa Cup of Nations semi-final against South Africa in Bouake.
Wednesday’s game between the two teams will be the 15th clash between both countries at full international level.
Nigeria have won seven of the previous 14 matches, with five of those matches drawn and two won by South Africa.
Apart from having to deal with the incredible energy, effervescence and pace of Africa Player of the Year Victor Osimhen, another major problem that the Bafana Bafana will be up against early, in-game and at the latter stages, is the intractability of wing-terrors Ademola Lookman and Moses Simon.
Lookman, with three goals in the tournament so far, all coming in the knockout rounds, plus assisting Osimhen to score the equaliser against Equatorial Guinea, and Simon, with two assists, can be fleeting and entirely unpredictable for any defence, with both switching wings at will.
A stingy rearguard, marshalled by on-field captain William Troost-Ekong, has been able to provide all the answers to a number of tricky questions by the opposition in their last four matches, and looks as solid as the Berlin Wall at the height of its glory.
Goalkeeper Stanley Nwabali, who plays his club football in South Africa, and who was thrown into the forefront as number one at this competition despite only one previous cap, said he would have a sweet day stopping all efforts by the Bafana Bafana and then seeing them shunted to the third-place match.
Nwabali said: “I know them and they know me.
“It will be an interesting evening in Bouake.”
Calvin Bassey, Semi Ajayi, Zaidu Sanusi and Olaoluwa Aina are the other pegs in that rearguard, and the attack-minded Aina offers even more problems for the 1996 champions.
Ranked 42nd in the world and 12th in Africa, as against South Africa’s global ranking of 66th and 12th in the world, the Super Eagles are unbeaten in 10 competitive matches over the past 10 months, and even achieved a rare win in a friendly game when they edged Mozambique in Portugal in October 2023.
As far as the Africa Cup of Nations go, Nigeria is aiming for a fourth star on its crest, while the Bafana (Boys) are only aiming for a second triumph, following their win on home soil 28 years ago.
Even that win has always been downplayed by Nigerians as it happened in the absence of Cup holders Nigeria, who were stopped from travelling to the Rainbow Nation by military strongman Sani Abacha following a spat with President Nelson Mandela over the execution of environmental rights activist, Ken Saro-Wiwa, and some others in November 1995.
The first meeting between both countries was on October 10, 1992, when Richard Owubokiri opened the floodgates of goals in a 4-0 win for Nigeria at the National Stadium, Lagos.
Rashidi Yekini scored a brace.
It was a 1994 FIFA World Cup qualifying match.
The return leg at the FBN Stadium in Johannesburg ended scoreless.
Nigeria spanked South Africa 2-0 in the semi-finals of the 2000 AFCON they co-hosted with Ghana, with Tijani Babangida scoring both goals, and four years later, an Eagles’ team wounded by Morocco in its first match descended heavily on the Bafana, beating the latter 4-0 in a group phase match in Monastir, Tunisia.
Four years ago, in the AFCON quarter-finals, the Eagles edged the Bafana 2-1 in Cairo, with the goals scored by Samuel Chukwueze and Troost-Ekong.
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Both players will be in Bouake with Troost-Ekong to lead the squad on the field and Chukwueze likely to play some part in the proceedings.
Nigeria, South Africa in history
10 October 1992: Nigeria 4 South Africa 0 (1994 World Cup qualifier, Lagos)
16 January 1993: South Africa 0 Nigeria 0 (1994 World Cup qualifier, Johannesburg)
10 February 2000: Nigeria 2 South Africa 0 (AFCON semi-final, Lagos)
31 January 2004: Nigeria 4 South Africa 0 (AFCON finals, Monastir, Tunisia)
17 November 2004: South Africa 2 Nigeria 1 (International Friendly, Durban)
1 June 2008: Nigeria 2 South Africa 0 (2010 FIFA World Cup qualifier, Abuja)
6 September 2008: South Africa 0 Nigeria 1 (2010 FIFA World Cup qualifier, Port Elizabeth)
14 August 2013: South Africa 0 Nigeria 2 (International Friendly, Johannesburg)
10 September 2014: South Africa 0 Nigeria 0 (2015 AFCON qualifier, Johannesburg)
19 November 2014: Nigeria 2 South Africa 2 (2015 AFCON qualifier, Uyo)
29 March 2015: South Africa 1 Nigeria 1 (International Friendly, Durban)
10 June 2017: Nigeria 0 South Africa 2 (2019 AFCON qualifier, Uyo)
17 November 2018: South Africa 1 Nigeria 1 (2019 AFCON qualifier, Johannesburg)
10 July 2019: Nigeria 2 South Africa 1 (2019 AFCON quarter final, Cairo).